Tony Will, President and CEO

Fellow CF Industries Shareholders

Your company delivered strong results in 2019 that reflected the impact of lower year-over-year natural gas costs, higher product price realizations and outstanding execution by the CF team.

For the full year of 2019, our net earnings attributable to common stockholders were $493 million, or $2.23 per diluted share. Our adjusted EBITDA was $1.6 billion, 15 percent higher than the previous year, and our net cash provided by operating activities was $1.5 billion. We generated $915 million in free cash flow, representing the most efficient conversion of EBITDA-to-cash and the best free cash flow yield in the industry.

CF’s employees demonstrated once again our best-in-class operational capability. We operated our plants extremely well and twice during the year set quarterly ammonia production records for our system.

Throughout the year, our sales and distribution teams navigated challenging weather conditions that delayed fertilizer applications and disrupted transportation networks. Despite this, they performed superbly. We sold 19.5 million product tons in 2019 — in line with 2018 and 2017 volumes — including a company record 5.7 million product tons in the second quarter.

CF Industries exists because the world needs to feed a growing population that now stands at 7.8 billion people.

Most impressively, we did all this safely. Our 12-month rolling recordable incident rate at the end of 2019 was 0.48 incidents per 200,000 work hours. This is the lowest year-end level ever at CF. We are tremendously proud of this achievement.

In 2019, we delivered a one-year total shareholder return of 13 percent, which was well above each member of our fertilizer peer group for the year. We have outperformed our peer group index over 1-, 3-, 5-, 7- and 10-year total shareholder returns, and we were the single best performing company over all but one of these time-periods.

OUR BUSINESS

We believe this consistent, long-term outperformance relative to our peers speaks to who we are, our simple yet powerful business model and our execution.

CF Industries exists because the world needs to feed a growing population that now stands at 7.8 billion people.

Our role in this vital effort is to manufacture nitrogen. It is a product that is used for emissions abatement and other industrial processes. But its most important use is as a fertilizer. Nitrogen is critical to plant growth and crop yield, but the naturally-occurring form that plants can use exists in extremely limited quantities around the world.

Since the start of 2017, we have deployed nearly $4 billion in capital to increase shareholder participation in our underlying business, return cash to shareholders and reduce debt.

  • Longstanding annual $1.20 per share dividend
  • $837M to repurchase nearly 8% of outstanding shares
  • $388M to purchase all of the outstanding publicly traded common units of Terra Nitrogen Company, L.P.
  • Reduced fixed charges by $67M on an annualized basis through lower dividend payments and elimination of Terra Nitrogen cash distribution
  • Reduced gross debt by approximately 32% to $4.0B
  • Reduced fixed charges by $121M on an annual basis
  • Commitment to redeem the remaining $250M of 2021 Senior Secured Notes on or before the maturity date

The Haber-Bosch process, for which its creators both received Nobel prizes, solved this challenge just over 100 years ago. Using natural gas or other energy sources as feedstock, nitrogen manufacturers use Haber-Bosch to fix atmospheric nitrogen with hydrogen to produce anhydrous ammonia. Ammonia can then be upgraded to other fertilizer products such as granular urea or urea ammonium nitrate.

The ability to produce nitrogen has had an undeniably positive effect on the world. Along with Green Revolution seed advancements and farming practice improvements, the growing use of nitrogen and other fertilizers dramatically increased food production in the second half of the 1900s. Food security and quality of life around the world improved as well. The annual rate of people dying due to a famine globally per decade declined nearly 99 percent from the 1960s to the 2010s.

HOW WE COMPETE

Nitrogen is a globally traded commodity. The global price is set by our industry’s marginal producers, which are Chinese producers that use anthracite coal as feedstock. Given the commodity nature of our business, our focus is on having the lowest delivered cost per ton. To do this, our strategy is to leverage our core capabilities to optimize and sustainably grow the world’s most-advantaged nitrogen and chemicals platform.

This starts with our substantial structural advantages. We operate some of the most energy-efficient plants in the world, which, combined with access to abundant low-cost North American natural gas, positions CF firmly on the low end of the global cost curve. We operate in, and sell product to, regions that require imports to satisfy demand. Additionally, nitrogen fertilizers must be applied each year and global demand for nitrogen is growing, and largely driven by population growth and dietary improvements.

We also create operational advantages for our company by investing in our people and our assets.

We focus our capital expenditures on safety and reliability in order to improve safety, high asset utilization and productivity. Data collected by CRU, a global industry consulting firm, shows that our asset utilization-and-production over the last five years is approximately 12 percent higher than the average utilization rate of our North American competitors. Based on the size of our network, that translates into roughly 1.1 million tons of incremental gross ammonia per year — volume that is equivalent to a worldscale ammonia plant. Said differently, our operational capabilities lead to capital efficiency, saving our shareholders approximately $1.5 billion to $2.0 billion of capital in order to produce the same volume of ammonia.

We have also invested in the flexibility of our manufacturing facilities and built an extensive distribution platform. This allows us to maximize margins by optimizing our product mix and lowering logistics costs.

Our disciplined portfolio management has created substantial value for shareholders, most notably through capacity expansions and acquisitions. We have also driven value through divestments of assets, strategic ventures and long-term supply agreements.

Free Cash Flow Yield (1)

Source: Capital IQ February 24, 2020

  1. Represents LTM free cash flow divided by market value of equity (market cap) as of February 24, 2020, LTM free cash flow for CF Industries, Yara International ASA, Nutrien Ltd., and The Mosaic Company is the 12-month period ending December 31, 2019 and LTM free cash flow for OCI N.V. is the 12-month period ending September 30, 2019. Market capitalization is calculated as shares outstanding as of the end of each respective period multiplied by the closing share price of each company on February 24, 2020. See reconciliation of free cash flow to the most directly comparable GAAP measure under “Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures”.

We do all this while operating efficiently, with an engaged employee population of approximately 3,000 people. Our SG&A costs as a percent of sales remain among the lowest in both the chemicals and fertilizer industries.

CREATING LONG-TERM SHAREHOLDER VALUE

By executing our strategy across these structural and operational advantages, we are able to generate substantial free cash flow. In fact, we believe we are well-positioned to generate superior cash flow through the cycle compared to most of our global competitors.

Our goal is to use excess cash to increase shareholder participation in our underlying assets as measured by tons of nitrogen capacity per 1,000 shares. We do this in two ways. First, we look to reinvest in our business when we can identify opportunities that fit within our strategic fairway and have risk-adjusted rates of return well above our cost of capital. Second, in the absence of available growth opportunities, we expect to distribute excess capital to shareholders.

In line with this philosophy, we have deployed $1.2 billion over the last three years for share repurchases and growth initiatives, increasing shareholder participation in our underlying business by nearly 10 percent. We also returned $825 million to shareholders through dividends.

Over the same time frame, we have redeemed $1.85 billion in debt as part of our focus on reducing fixed charges, optimizing our capital structure and returning to investment grade debt ratings. As a result, we entered 2020 with greatly improved credit metrics and a strong and flexible balance sheet that is well-positioned for the future.

CF Industries’ Nitrogen Volumes and Shares Outstanding
as of Year-end

All N production numbers based on year-end figures per 10-K filings.

  1. Beginning in 2010 includes capacity from Terra Industries Inc. acquisition
  2. Beginning in 2013 includes incremental 34% of Medicine Hat production to reflect CF acquisition of Viterra’s interests
  3. Beginning in 2015 includes incremental 50% interest in CF Fertilisers UK acquired from Yara International ASA
  4. Beginning in 2016 excludes nitrogen equivalent of 1.1 million tons of urea and 0.58 million tons of UAN under CHS supply agreement and includes expansion project capacity at Donaldsonville and Port Neal
  5. Beginning in 2018 includes incremental 15% of Verdigris production to reflect CF’s acquisition of publicly traded TNH units
  6. Share count based on end of year common shares outstanding. Share count prior to 2015 based on 5-for-1 split-adjusted shares

OUR BROADER IMPACT

Our financial results and our track record of creating long-term shareholder value are not the only way we evaluate our company’s performance. We expect to have a positive impact across the issues important to our many stakeholders.

We communicate our performance in these areas and others through our annual environmental, social and governance (ESG) reporting. This year we are releasing our annual Sustainability Report at the same time as our Annual Report, and reporting our ESG performance using the Sustainability Accounting Standards Board framework for the first time. This is in addition to our long-standing use of the Global Reporting Initiative, through which we report on a comprehensive basis.

We are proud of the progress these reports document. For example, our entry-level wages average nearly 300 percent of the local minimum wage, nearly half of our annual procurement spending is with local suppliers and we actively support local groups and non profit organizations.

We also report on the progress that has been made to limit and reduce the environmental footprint of the agriculture industry. Greenhouse gas emissions are inherent to the nitrogen manufacturing process. However, because more than 20 percent of global greenhouse gas emissions are estimated to come from land use, a sustainable future requires the world to use less land to feed more people. Fertilizer increases yield per acre, which means less land is required to feed the world’s population. Without fertilizers, we estimate that net global greenhouse gas emissions would increase by 10 percent due to greater land use for farming.

We have also partnered with non governmental organizations to support efforts to improve how our products are used. We just completed the fourth year of our partnership with The Nature Conservancy on the 4R Plus program, which has made great progress to increase awareness and adoption of nutrient stewardship and conservation practices in order to improve soil and water quality while helping the financial performance of farmers.

We encourage you to spend time across all our annual reporting to understand the scope of our impact on and contributions to society. We look forward to our ongoing discussions on the positive impact nitrogen has had on the world, and how we are approaching emerging issues important to stakeholders.

We look forward to our ongoing discussions on the positive impact
nitrogen has had on the world, and how we are approaching emerging
issues important to stakeholders.

THE FUTURE

As I write this, the spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has been declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization and is severely affecting economies around the world. CF’s focus has been protecting the health and well-being of our employees and everyone whose lives we touch.

Agriculture and fertilizer production are key parts of the food supply chain and, in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, have been designated as “essential,” and a part of the U.S. “critical infrastructure,” with a similar designation in the U.K. This is for a very simple reason: in times of crisis, availability of food becomes of paramount importance. We serve a vital role in the process that provides food to people and helps to keep peace and order in our society. By protecting our people, we are doing our best to mitigate its impact on our operations and ensure that our vital contribution to feeding the world continues.

Longer-term, we see a bright future ahead

We have substantial structural and operational advantages compared to our competitors. We have 3,000 employees whose operational excellence defines their work and who take pride in our company’s contributions to feeding the crops that feed the world. And we are committed to being the safest, most reliable and most efficient producer in the world. Taken together, we believe this will enable us to build on our track record of creating long-term shareholder value, benefitting all stakeholders.

Thank you for your confidence in CF. We look forward to working with you and earning your continued support in the years ahead.

Tony Will
President and Chief Executive Officer